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uuboot62
Wysłany: Sob 9:55, 23 Paź 2010
Temat postu: besides can live
This year a few opinion of building city
1.Room city bubble behaves the real purchasing power of the person that the price that it is a room rises to exceed requirement far, because the building is not general consumable,the real purchasing power of the person that house price rises to be able to exceed requirement is; As praedial building, besides can live, still can be purchaser to bring appreciating huge profit like the stock; Then,
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, when the person that adventurer becomes the dominant of room city, all person that buy a house will get " wrap hold something under the arm " , must be immersed in exalted scare buying " prisoner dilemma " ; But, dare not receive in perch when adventurer dish when, house price rises with respect to sluggish of meeting occurrence perch, then abduct head is down; Once establish of trend of house price be issued to lower levels, adventurer won't enter town more, house price can appear more substantially drop. Can you have 2009 " such-and-such the group that buy a house " ten, rush to purchase of a few land opens a floor newly dish? I think. Accordingly, true consumer holds money boldly to wait for buy, must not let oneself cover the half half way up the mountain in house price,
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, act as for those adventurer stepping-stone.
2.Do not believe to develop business " beat dead not to depreciate " " Huang character " , many bank loan needs to remand, procrastinate more for a long time the burden is heavier; The building that start working of second half of the year built last year dish, dropped with respect to the cost of cement and rolled steel 50% above, by what they want and is by what they want and house price carried to death like other development business? Neither one " the price is allied " meeting people in the same condition help each other, go through thick and thin together, become especially during trend of price be issued to lower levels is already clear; The more well-advised development business is jumped over should situation of recognize of as soon as possible, for the interest of your oneself choice stands in most consumer at the same time; This cries " immensity of abyss of misery, repent and be saved " .
3.Sell the house that does not go out, house price is again high, GDP also is equal to 0; The house sells do not go out, nobody dare want land, land finance also is equal to 0; If the official of local government is clever really, should want to understand this reason: Depreciate and can not reduce local finance income, if the demand flexibility of the building is more than 1; Depreciate to won't be lost more " achievement in one's post " , only low a to the limit of one's capacity, GDP ability of the place is pulled move. Accordingly, no matter interest of the need from local economy progress or official self sets out, preventing house price to drop just is well-advised. More what is more,the rather that, for government-owned one party, do bit of good work for common people,
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, it is a thing that accumulates a good deed to the doer's credit in the next world.
4.The room city 2009 depends on: The person that the spec fries a room does not fry a room, the price alliance hold together that develops business not know clearly, local government intervenes house price loses enthusiasm; Do you say house price is to drop to still go up? More important is, business of adventurer, development and local government official make such choice and either stem from them to common people " bestow favours " , however out the interest of their oneself -- this is to be in pattern of be issued to lower levels of whole of economy of 9 years of countrymans, the choice that they must make just.
5.Since Chinese estate is commercialized oneself, had experienced only rise to still do not have experience to drop too; But the historical experience that estate market matures outside the area that includes Hong Kong and Taiwan inside tells us: The cycle with house fluctuant price normally lag the cycle at economic fluctuation; Accordingly, if Chinese economy is picking up by true explore,want when 2010; So, the cold winter at least of Chinese estate market should continue when after 2010; 2009, this is place of firm inchoate of development business nightmare!
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